Matteo Berrettini vs Cameron Norrie Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance reveals Cameron Norrie holds a slight edge, claiming 45.11% of points compared to Matteo Berrettini's 44.73%.
• Who dominates in return games? Cameron Norrie surpasses Matteo Berrettini, capturing 45.39% of points from opponent's second serves, while Matteo secures 37.45%. For first serve returns, Norrie again outperforms, with 26.32% against Berrettini's 20.51%. Is this crucial for determining a favorite? Yes, return game stats are highly indicative.
• Under pressure, Berrettini marginally saves more breakpoints at 60.00%, whereas Norrie saves 59.79%—a noteworthy factor for match predictions.
• Analyzing overall match performance, Cameron Norrie showcases superior winning consistency over the past year, with a win rate of 56.92% against Berrettini's 51.43%.
• Which player is more effective on varying surfaces? Berrettini excels on Grass (78% win rate) and struggles on Indoor Hard (55%), while Norrie is formidable on Hard (78%) yet falters on Grass (49%).
• At the Main tour level, Cameron Norrie's win rate of 59.38% surpasses Berrettini's 46.67%. Do these figures indicate a possible advantage for Norrie in this event?
• Direct Head-to-Head: Berrettini leads with 2 victories over Norrie, showing dominance by winning 5 out of 7 sets played. Their last encounter ended with a Berrettini win at the Australian Open on Hard court.
• Assessing opponent quality, Berrettini faced slightly stronger opponents ranked at an average of 99.4 compared to Norrie's 105.
• In deciding sets, Norrie performs better, winning 57% of them, while Berrettini has a 45% win rate in such scenarios.

Editorial Prediction (October 23, 2025, UTC):

Evaluating the recent performances, Cameron Norrie slightly edges out Matteo Berrettini on second serve statistics. This could play a significant role in the forthcoming match dynamics.

Cameron Norrie's strength in return games might grant him an advantage, as indicated by his superior performance in both first and second serve returns. Meanwhile, Berrettini's under-pressure breakpoint saving capability remains a crucial factor, albeit only slightly stronger than Norrie's.

While Norrie has exhibited a consistent winning record over the past year and outstanding form on Hard surfaces, Berrettini's head-to-head lead and successful encounters against higher-ranked opponents cannot be overlooked.

Taking into account all the statistics and performance trends, Cameron Norrie seems to have a marginal edge due to his overall consistent play and better recent form. Thus, Cameron Norrie is predicted to be the likely winner in this upcoming match.